Monday, June 30, 2008

Making Microfinance Profitable

http://www.economist.com/opinion/displaystory.cfm?story_id=11622469

I'd be interested to hear more about the bank that did this - it seems to be working, but it's not a very deep article. This is the first one I've seen that's really making this profitable. Of note, of course, is the average loan size, which is $450, much higher than loan sizes in Asia. I think they were started with government money, which still presents a startup-cost barrier to other profit-seeking entities. Interesting to see how the field is developing, though...

Saturday, June 28, 2008

Will there be an Green Energy Boom

The power and the glory
Jun 19th 2008
From The Economist print edition

The next technology boom may well be based on alternative energy, says Geoffrey Carr (interviewed here). But which sort to back?

EVERYONE loves a booming market, and most booms happen on the back of technological change. The world’s venture capitalists, having fed on the computing boom of the 1980s, the internet boom of the 1990s and the biotech and nanotech boomlets of the early 2000s, are now looking around for the next one. They think they have found it: energy.

http://www.economist.com/specialreports/displayStory.cfm?story_id=11565685

Wednesday, June 25, 2008

http://www.economist.com/finance/displayStory.cfm?story_id=11610918

Yesterday we had a meeting here at UNCTAD to discuss the role of TNCs in climate change. Ultimately, who does responsibility lie with, producers or consumers? How do you separate responsibility along the value chain?

Monday, June 23, 2008

Home Not-So-Sweet Home

By PAUL KRUGMAN
Published: June 23, 2008
Why should ever-increasing homeownership be a policy goal? How many people should own homes, anyway?

http://www.nytimes.com/2008/06/23/opinion/23krugman.html?ex=1371960000&en=fdaf2458938662ba&ei=5124&partner=permalink&exprod=permalink

Friday, June 20, 2008

Food Stamps Stop Crime

A new paper out of NBER suggests that criminals are more likely to commit crime the longer it's been since they received their last batch of food stamps. This implies that welfare payments help to bring people over some base level of poverty whereby they find the risk of incarceration higher than the negative outcomes associated with not engaging in illegal income-generating activities.

The right has long been against welfare payments because, at least theoretically, they reduce the incentive for self-improvement and entrepreneurial activity. However, if such payments have other empirically verifiable benefits, such as crime reduction, is there a point at which even those who hate welfare the most will accept such programs as a sort of bribe to keep the poor from engaging in crime? It seems possible that if this study does indeed identify an actual causation, investments in welfare payments may be more economical than investments in greater police force or other attempts to reduce crime. Furthermore, if welfare programs reduce incarceration, the return to the economy from such payments would doubtlessly be higher than the returns to incarcerating workforce-eligible adults, even if their overall contribution to the workforce is low.

Thoughts?

Thursday, June 19, 2008

The Glowing Future


Sen. John McCain made his case yesterday for the construction of 45 new nuclear reactors in the U.S. by 2030 and perhaps a total of 100 new reactors total. His case seemed base, at least in part, on the fact that if other nations are using nuclear energy, then the U.S. should. Also, the mention of China, Russia, and India is likely to stir up good ol' national pride in some (but not all) McCain supporters. Is nuclear energy the solution, and how would the industry and government deal with an increase in spent nuclear fuel? Can any administration put this into action without seeming to pander to the nuclear industry? The comment by Weiss makes one think this problem would arise.

http://www.nytimes.com/2008/06/18/us/politics/18cnd-mccain.html

Wednesday, June 18, 2008

Marginal Inflight Service

At dinner last night there was discussion of the quality of (or lack there of) airline service. One individual complained about the consumer injustice of some airlines now charging for checking an additional piece of luggage. I made the observation that most of us at dinner were business travelers or light packers so, on average, we benefit from the policy through lower ticket prices. “But that’s ridiculous, ticket prices haven’t gone down,” everyone at the table scoffed. I tried, rather unsuccessfully, to explain:

A piece of luggage is additional weight and so adds to the cost of the flight. Absent pricing, the cost is distributed across all ticketed flyers. Unless you carry more than the average amount of luggage, you benefit from the policy by no longer splitting the bill with heavy packers. In fact, flyers will respond to the price signal, begin to pack lighter, on average, and the entire flight will become more efficient, so the cost should go down marginally for everyone, but more for lighter packers.

The same is true for airline food. Unless you really like airline meals, the policy of charging for snacks instead of serving free meals is a net benefit to you.

Of course, given the variability in airline prices and myriad other costs, it would be IMPOSSIBLE for a customer to observe this effect. But unless you think airline prices are set collusively, it HAS to be true.

The logic is glaringly obvious. And yet it amazes me how difficult it is for otherwise exceptional bright people to grasp the concept. How has a species which appears to have selected for a general aversion to or incapacity for economic thinking achieved such prosperity?

Friday, June 13, 2008

Regulating the FDA

Op-Ed Columnist
Bad Cow Disease
By PAUL KRUGMAN
Published: June 13, 2008
In the case of food, for the sake of our health and our export markets, we need to go back to the way it was after Teddy Roosevelt, when the Socialists took over.

http://www.nytimes.com/2008/06/13/opinion/13krugman.html?ex=1371096000&en=dfcbe139182ca627&ei=5124&partner=permalink&exprod=permalink

Empowering Consumers

Hi. I'm the shorter, better looking Kevin (I don't have a cool picture yet). I also blog (much less frequently lately) at Coarse Evaluations. I'll try to contribute semi-regularly here...I like the idea of taking Econ Club to the blogosphere (Angel, have you thought about selling "Optimize This" shirts?).

To get started, I give you this letter I sent to the NYT today on Krugman's Op-Ed:

To the Editor:

Paul Krugman indicts poor regulation for recent food scares that have consumers worried about their groceries and have devastated some export markets (“Bad Cow Disease,” June 13). He’s right.

Where Krugman misleads is implying that more regulation is inevitably good regulation. It is the extent of the current regulatory regime that has entrenched big farm and food interests and hamstrung competition. The result? Companies have no incentive to self-regulate knowing USDA and FDA bureaucrats will ultimately be held responsible. And, it is nearly impossible for new companies to enter the market and feed consumers the products we want.

Not only do consumers have less choice, we also have less motivation to be informed buyers. A misguided willingness to trust fallible and poorly incentivized regulators helped create this situation.

If you want a safe food supply, then ease regulation, induce greater competition, and watch the power of reputation takeover.

That’s the guardian of free-market capitalism Milton Friedman espoused, not lawyers.

Kevin L. Richards

Wednesday, June 11, 2008

Is the Fed Impotent?

John Hussman, the manager of Hussman Funds, writes a weekly commentary that is followed closely by my firm as well as many others involved in the investment world. In his most recent commmentary he examines the value of monetary policy in relation to fiscal policy. He does an interesting mental exercise utilizing game theory and "Circus Peanuts" to understand Bernanke's real options for interest rate changes. Is it true that the Fed is impotent?

http://hussmanfunds.com/wmc/wmc080609.htm

Friday, June 6, 2008

Retailers Post Surprising Sales

Retailers Post Surprising Sales
By ABHA BHATTARAI
Published: June 6, 2008
Discount retailers fared particularly well as price-conscious customers spent income-tax rebate checks.

http://www.nytimes.com/2008/06/06/business/06shop.html?ex=1370491200&en=460b291eea19a794&ei=5124&partner=permalink&exprod=permalink

Big Airlines in a Rush to Go Small

Big Airlines in a Rush to Go Small
By MICHELINE MAYNARD
Published: June 6, 2008
With fuel prices almost double what they were a year ago, airlines have switched strategies from expansion to downsizing.

http://www.nytimes.com/2008/06/06/business/06travel.html?ex=1370491200&en=48612e3d7bb4453d&ei=5124&partner=permalink&exprod=permalink

Thursday, June 5, 2008

LatAm heads 'stall' UN food text

LatAm heads 'stall' UN food text
The food crisis is said to have pushed 100 million people into hunger
Latin American countries are refusing to sign a declaration on dealing with the world food crisis, delegates at a UN food summit have told the BBC.

For the rest of the article follow the link below:
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/europe/7437253.stm

The great carbon bazaar

The great carbon bazaar
By Mark Gregory Business correspondent, BBC World Service, India
Evidence of serious flaws in the multi-billion dollar global market for carbon credits has been uncovered by a BBC World Service investigation.
The credits are generated by a United Nations-run scheme called the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM).

For the rest of the article following the link below:
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/7436263.stm

How to Help the Planet by Buying a Hummer

How to Help the Planet by Buying a Hummer
May 27, 2008 ·
Cut down those old trees, scrap that organic milk, embrace nuclear power: Wired contributing editor Spencer Reiss explains why winning the war on global warming means slaughtering some of environmentalism's sacred cows.

Follow the link for the rest of the article:
http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=90840234#share

Declining Remittances to Mexico

Remittances in the era of the subprime crisis
An article in the Financial Times today points out that there has been a dramatic reversal in the growth of the volume of remittances being sent from the United States to Mexico. According to data from the Bank of Mexico, remittances in the first four months of 2008 are down 2.4 percent from the same period last year.

http://www.typepad.com/t/trackback/462659/29771492

Tuesday, June 3, 2008

Where is the supply of famous people in Belgium?

Freakonomics: What Explains the Supply of Fame?
By Justin Wolfers
Published: June 2, 2008
Over a long dinner (and more than a few glasses of wine) with some economist friends, conversation turned to trying to understand why happiness is declining in Belgium. Helena Svaleryd offered an audacious new theory: the Belgians have not enjoyed the rise of celebrity culture that provides so much amusement for the rest of us. [...]

http://freakonomics.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/06/02/what-explains-the-supply-of-fame/

Monday, June 2, 2008

What the Mexicans Might Learn From the Italians

The World
What the Mexicans Might Learn From the Italians
By RALPH BLUMENTHAL
Published: June 1, 2008
Law enforcement experts wonder if the lessons learned fighting the Sicilian Mafia in Italy and the United States can be applied to the escalating crisis in Mexico.


I stole this one from Adam. I also posted his comments

http://www.nytimes.com/2008/06/01/weekinreview/01blumenthal.html?ex=1369972800&en=4fc2cfff78317b31&ei=5124&partner=permalink&exprod=permalink

Prices of Beer around the world

The beer necessities
May 30th 2008From Economist.com
The reported price of beer

I thought this was interesting, I never would have guessed the areas in which beer prices are the highest.

http://www.economist.com/daily/news/displaystory.cfm?story_id=11333131&fsrc=nwl

-----
Hey Angel,

I couldn't find a way to post a picture into a response comment; the closest thing I found I could do was edit it into the original post here, so that's where I'll paste it for now. If you don't want it here or know of a way I can include pictures when I post comments, please let me know; I don't mean to screw up your format here!

Anyways,
here's me and a few friends with our hostel owner (he's the one feeling up the girl in our group) in Damascus, along with a portion of the ludicrous amount of Amstel we plundered from the liquor store across the square.

Tom




The Problem With the Corporate Tax

Economic View
The Problem With the Corporate Tax
By N. GREGORY MANKIW
Published: June 1, 2008
A cut in the corporate tax is perhaps the best simple recipe for promoting long-run growth in American living standards.

This is a pretty good article discussing raising gas tax and decreasing corporate tax rates. I like Mankiw and think his logic makes sense. However, I want to know his justification for choosing %25 versus some other percentage. Any thoughts?


http://www.nytimes.com/2008/06/01/business/01view.html?ex=1370059200&en=7fd113219c050aeb&ei=5124&partner=permalink&exprod=permalink