John Hussman, the manager of Hussman Funds, writes a weekly commentary that is followed closely by my firm as well as many others involved in the investment world. In his most recent commmentary he examines the value of monetary policy in relation to fiscal policy. He does an interesting mental exercise utilizing game theory and "Circus Peanuts" to understand Bernanke's real options for interest rate changes. Is it true that the Fed is impotent?
http://hussmanfunds.com/wmc/wmc080609.htm
What I've been reading
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I just finished the new book by my ertswhile colleague Al Roth. Highly
recommended! The subtitle is a good summary.
4 weeks ago
1 comment:
I don't think the message was impotence. Hussman attempts to systematize and predict "rational choice" by the Fed in the face of uncertainty. What Bernanke chooses to do with rates will certainly impact the economy. The question is whether that impact is washed over by forces beyond his control -- persistency in credit turmoil and the upward spiral in commodity prices, among others.
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